Signal & Structure
Lorenzo Ognibeni — Research Fellow, CNR ISTC
Modeling Representation, Structure and Risk in Complex Systems
I develop representation learning and probabilistic modeling frameworks to study structure, dynamics and risk in complex systems under uncertainty.
NLP & Text Representation
Text analytics, semantic similarity and retrieval in specialized corpora.
Finance, Risk & Regime Modeling
Financial time-series models, regime dynamics and quantitative risk prototypes.
Causal & Institutional Systems
Causal inference, policy evaluation and shock-transmission analysis in institutional systems.
Current focus
Representation Learning
NeuroBridge
Modular framework for neural representation learning, contrastive sampling and latent dynamics.
Medical Image Segmentation with U-Net
CT image segmentation prototype with encoder-decoder CNNs and IoU evaluation.
Hospital Flow Forecasting with LSTM
Applied LSTM forecasting prototype for hospital-flow dynamics and triage time series.
Research Log (comments welcome)
- Geometry of neural representations — notes in preparation
- Contrastive learning and manifolds — notes in preparation
- Future directions for neural embeddings — notes in preparation
Text systems
NLP & Text Representation
Research Log (comments welcome)
- Text representation and semantic similarity — notes in preparation
- Information retrieval in specialized corpora — notes in preparation
Quantitative risk
Finance, Risk & Regime Modeling
Partial Cointegration
State-space models for statistical arbitrage.
Structured Certificate Pricing & Credit Risk
Replication-based pricing with Black-Scholes, NSS yield curves and credit-risk extensions.
Systemic Risk & Rolling Delta CoVaR
Rolling quantile-regression framework for institutional systemic-risk contributions.
Portfolio Risk Allocation
Black-Litterman, equal-risk contribution and VaR-based portfolio risk controls.
Research Log (comments welcome)
Policy and institutions
Causal & Institutional Systems
Research Log (comments welcome)
- Causal inference in institutional systems — notes in preparation
- Policy evaluation frameworks — notes in preparation
- Institutional dynamics and complexity — notes in preparation